The Social Sciences

Year: 2016
Volume: 11
Issue: 12
Page No. 2938 - 2945

References

Aramberri, J., 2009. The future of tourism and globalization: Some critical remarks. Futures, 41: 367-376.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Arsad, Z. and N.B.M. Johor, 2010. Estimating European tourism demand for Malaysia. World Acad. Sci. Eng. Technol., 66: 1606-1611.

Ash, J.C.K., D.J. Smyth and S.M. Heravi, 1998. Are OECD forecasts rational and useful? A directional analysis. Int. J. Forecasting, 14: 381-391.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Baghestani, H., 2009. Evaluating random walk forecasts of exchange rates. Stud. Econ. Finance, 26: 171-181.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Berger, J.O., 1985. Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis. 2nd Edn., Springer, New York, USA., Pages: 617.

Blaskowitz, O. and H. Herwartz, 2008. Adaptive forecasting of the EURIBOR swap term structure. J. Forecasting, 28: 575-594.
Direct Link  |  

Blaskowitz, O. and H. Herwartz, 2011. On economic evaluation of directional forecasts. Int. J. Forecasting, 27: 1058-1065.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Box, G.E.P., G.M. Jenkins and G.C. Reinsel, 1994. Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control. 3rd Edn., Pearson Education, New York, USA., ISBN: 9780130607744, Pages: 598.

Cicarelli, J., 1982. A new method of evaluating the accuracy of economic forecasts. J. Macroeconomics, 4: 469-475.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Cumby, R.E. and D.M. Modest, 1987. Testing for market timing ability: A framework for forecast evaluation. J. Financial Econ., 19: 169-189.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

De Gooijer, J.G. and R.J. Hyndman, 2006. 25 years of time series forecasting. Int. J. Forecasting, 22: 443-473.
CrossRef  |  

Dorfman, J.H. and C.S. McIntosh, 1990. Results of a price forecasting competition. Am. J. Agric. Econ., 72: 804-808.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Elliott, G., A. Timmermann and I. Komunjer, 2005. Estimation and testing of forecast rationality under flexible loss. Rev. Econ. Stud., 72: 1107-1125.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Granger, C.W.J., 1999. Outline of forecast theory using generalized cost functions. Spanish Econ. Rev., 1: 161-173.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Greer, M.R., 2005. Combination forecasting for directional accuracy: An application to survey interest rate forecasts. J. Applied Stat., 32: 607-615.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Hanim, N., R. Osman, A.H.A.M. Noor and M.S. Hasim, 2010. Malaysian tourism demand from the Middle East market: A preliminary analysis. J. Antarabangsa Kajian Asia Barat, 2: 37-52.

Hartzmark, M.L., 1991. Luck versus forecast ability: Determinants of trader performance in futures markets. J. Bus., 64: 49-74.
Direct Link  |  

Henriksson, R.D. and R.C. Merton, 1981. On market timing and investment performance 2: Statistical procedures for evaluating forecasting skills. J. Bus., 54: 513-533.
Direct Link  |  

Hyndman, R.J. and A.B. Koehler, 2006. Another look at measures of forecast accuracy. Int. J. Forecast., 22: 679-688.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Kadir, N., S. Nayan and M.S. Abdullah, 2013. A panel data analysis of international tourist arrivals from ASEAN countries to Malaysia. Proc. Econ. Finance, 7: 80-85.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Kuo, H.I., C.C. Chen, W.C. Tseng, L.F. Ju and B.W. Huang, 2008. Assessing impacts of SARS and Avian Flu on international tourism demand to Asia. Tourism Manage., 29: 917-928.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Lai, K.S., 1990. An evaluation of survey exchange rate forecasts. Econ. Lett., 32: 61-65.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Leitch, G. and J. Ernesttanner, 1995. Professional economic forecasts: Are they worth their costs?. J. Forecasting, 14: 143-157.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Leitch, G. and J.E. Tanner, 1991. Economic forecast evaluation: Profits versus the conventional error measures. Am. Econ. Rev., 81: 580-590.
Direct Link  |  

Lim, C. and M. McAleer, 2001. Forecasting tourist arrivals. Ann Tourism Res., 28: 965-977.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Loganathan, N. and Y. Ibrahim, 2010. Forecasting international tourism demand in Malaysia using box jenkins sarima application. South Asian J. Tourism Heritage, 3: 50-60.

Makridakis, S. and M. Hibon, 2000. The M3-Competition: Results, conclusions and implications. Int. J. Forecasting, 16: 451-476.
CrossRef  |  

Merton, R.C., 1981. On market timing and investment performance I: An equilibrium theory of value for market forecasts. J. Bus., 54: 363-406.
Direct Link  |  

Nanthakumar, L., T. Subramaniam and M. Kogid, 2012. Is Malaysia truly Asia? Forecasting tourism demand from ASEAN using SARIMA approach. Tourismos, 7: 367-381.

Nyberg, H., 2011. Forecasting the direction of the US stock market with dynamic binary probit models. Int. J. Forecasting, 27: 561-578.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Pesaran, M.H. and A. Timmermann, 2004. How costly is it to ignore breaks when forecasting the direction of a time series?. Int. J. Forecasting, 20: 411-425.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Salleh, N.H.M., L.S. Hook, S. Ramachandran, A. Shuib and Z.M. Noor, 2008. Asian tourism demand for Malaysia: A bound test approach. Contemp. Manage. Res., 4: 351-368.
Direct Link  |  

Schnader, M.H. and H.O. Stekler, 1990. Evaluating predictions of change. J. Bus., 63: 99-107.
Direct Link  |  

Sinclair, T.M., H.O. Stekler and L. Kitzinger, 2010. Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: A joint evaluation with an application to federal reserve predictions. Appl. Econ., 42: 2289-2297.
Direct Link  |  

Song, H. and G. Li, 2008. Tourism demand modelling and forecasting: A review of recent research. Tourism Manage., 29: 203-220.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Tan, A.Y., C. McCahon and J. Miller, 2002. Modeling tourist flows to Indonesia and Malaysia. J. Travel Tourism Marketing, 13: 61-82.
Direct Link  |  

Tan, A.Y., C. McCahon and J. Miller, 2002. Stability of inbound tourism demand models for Indonesia and Malaysia: The pre-and postformation of tourism development organizations. J. Hospitality Tourism Res., 26: 361-378.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Wei, W.W.S., 2006. Time Series Analysis: Univariate and Multivariate Methods. 2nd Edn., Pearson Addison Wesley, USA., ISBN-13: 9780321322166, Pages: 614.

Winters, P.R., 1960. Forecasting sales by exponentially weighted moving averages. Manage. Sci., 6: 324-342.
Direct Link  |  

Witt, S.F. and C.A. Witt, 1995. Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research. Int. J. Forecasting, 11: 447-475.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Witt, S.F., H. Song and P. Louvieris, 2003. Statistical testing in forecasting model selection. J. Travel Res., 42: 151-158.
CrossRef  |  Direct Link  |  

Design and power by Medwell Web Development Team. © Medwell Publishing 2024 All Rights Reserved