Authors : A.K. Bhardwaj, R.C. Bansal, R.K. Saket and A.K. Srivastava
Abstract: Power load forecasting is having its own importance in a bulk interconnected combined generation, transmission and distribution power system. Accurately load forecasting is important to establish operational plans for power stations and their generation units, implementation of improved plant scheduling. It further provides a reliable and credible resource that ensures stable and economical operation of the power. The crucial issue of managing the demand is of a great importance in formulating the future development policy for the whole country. The case studies analyses the requirement of electricity with respect to the future population for the major forms of energy in the KAVAL cities of Uttar Pradesh state in India. A model consisting of significant key energy indicators have been used for the estimation. Model wherever required refined in the second stage to remove the effect of auto-correlation. The accuracy of the model has been checked using standard statistical techniques and validated against the past data by testing for expost forecast accuracy. The study identifies the urgent need for special attention in evolving effective energy policies to alleviate an energy famine in the near future.
A.K. Bhardwaj, R.C. Bansal, R.K. Saket and A.K. Srivastava, 2010. Electric Power Demand Forecasting of KAVAL Cities. International Journal of Electrical and Power Engineering, 4: 85-89.